galdor.xyz
Admin
Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $80,000 or above

24h volume
10.7k
28.1k lifetime
Open interest
12.1k
+12.2k over 30d
Spread
1¢
4,617 × 4,925 at the touch
24h range
52¢ – 71¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
66%+12

A YES contract costs 66¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
34%

costs 35¢

YES bid / ask
65¢ / 66¢
NO bid / ask
34¢ / 35¢
24h low 52¢24h high 71¢
Recent buying28% YES · 72% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢volSep 18, 9:00 PMSep 21, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask18184¢
  • ask7.7375¢
  • ask172¢
  • ask170¢
  • ask5,00169¢
  • ask3,36468¢
  • ask2,99767¢
  • ask4,92566¢
spread1¢mid 66¢
  • bid4,61765¢
  • bid8,35764¢
  • bid2,30863¢
  • bid38162¢
  • bid37561¢
  • bid560¢
  • bid158¢
  • bid1156¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 79999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
79999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T79999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 28% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17m ago66¢53bought yes
18m ago64¢2.65bought no
20m ago64¢53bought no
59m ago63¢10bought no
1h ago65¢2.73bought no
1h ago66¢2.81bought yes
2h ago67¢301bought yes
3h ago64¢10bought yes
3h ago66¢70bought no
3h ago64¢7.62bought yes
3h ago59¢15bought no
3h ago61¢15bought yes
4h ago65¢49bought no
4h ago66¢1bought no
4h ago71¢3bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.