Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $82,000 or above

24h volume
22.6k
43.0k lifetime
Open interest
23.1k
+12.2k over 90d
Spread
2,200 × 2,140 at the touch
24h range
28¢ – 46¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
43%+12

A YES contract costs 43¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
57%

costs 58¢

YES bid / ask
42¢ / 43¢
NO bid / ask
57¢ / 58¢
24h low 28¢24h high 46¢
Recent buying38% YES · 62% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢30¢35¢40¢45¢volSep 19, 4:00 AMSep 21, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10.0k50¢
  • ask20749¢
  • ask148¢
  • ask10047¢
  • ask5,00046¢
  • ask3,03345¢
  • ask5,82444¢
  • ask2,14243¢
spreadmid 43¢
  • bid3,30242¢
  • bid2,77841¢
  • bid7,00440¢
  • bid31839¢
  • bid137¢
  • bid136¢
  • bid134¢
  • bid1625¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 81999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
81999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T81999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 38% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago43¢55bought yes
1m ago43¢555bought yes
1m ago41¢59bought yes
35m ago41¢25bought yes
51m ago41¢340bought yes
51m ago41¢2.34bought yes
2h ago41¢35bought yes
2h ago41¢15bought yes
3h ago41¢23bought yes
3h ago41¢69bought yes
3h ago38¢43bought yes
3h ago37¢1bought yes
3h ago43¢8bought no
3h ago43¢84bought no
3h ago45¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.