Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $84,000 or above

24h volume
9,979
35.1k lifetime
Open interest
20.6k
+22.8k over 7d
Spread
4,728 × 4,841 at the touch
24h range
11¢ – 26¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
26%+7

A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
74%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 23¢
NO bid / ask
77¢ / 79¢
24h low 11¢24h high 26¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

10¢20¢30¢volSep 19, 12:00 AMSep 21, 1:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4,67469¢
  • ask3,05368¢
  • ask867¢
  • ask128¢
  • ask5,00026¢
  • ask2,52725¢
  • ask2,90024¢
  • ask4,84123¢
spreadmid 22¢
  • bid4,72821¢
  • bid7,30420¢
  • bid3,48319¢
  • bid1118¢
  • bid3515¢
  • bid20012¢
  • bid20010¢
  • bid10.9k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 83999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
83999.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T83999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
25m ago26¢107bought no
25m ago26¢100bought no
25m ago26¢466bought no
25m ago26¢2,000bought no
2h ago21¢27bought yes
4h ago17¢2,000bought yes
4h ago17¢673bought yes
5h ago18¢10bought yes
8h ago16¢23bought no
8h ago20¢24bought yes
11h ago12¢100bought no
11h ago12¢10bought no
11h ago12¢1,170bought no
13h ago12¢1,298bought yes
13h ago12¢406bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.