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Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $84,500 or above

24h volume
6,430
11.8k lifetime
Open interest
11.7k
+6,330 over 24h
Spread
1¢
50 × 4,308 at the touch
24h range
10¢ – 22¢
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%+6

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 81¢
24h low 10¢24h high 22¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢volSep 20, 4:02 AMSep 21, 3:59 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,49068¢
  • ask2,98767¢
  • ask1,31965¢
  • ask2,71464¢
  • ask126¢
  • ask7,56022¢
  • ask2,32621¢
  • ask4,30820¢
spread1¢mid 19¢
  • bid4019¢
  • bid2,80618¢
  • bid4,36817¢
  • bid8,09216¢
  • bid5415¢
  • bid10013¢
  • bid569¢
  • bid12.2k8¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 84499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
84499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T84499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15m ago20¢719bought yes
15m ago20¢10bought yes
15m ago20¢11bought yes
15m ago20¢100bought yes
15m ago20¢10bought yes
1h ago20¢40bought yes
3h ago22¢2,000bought yes
3h ago22¢204bought yes
3h ago22¢10bought yes
3h ago22¢1,039bought yes
3h ago22¢100bought yes
6h ago14¢50bought yes
8h ago16¢764bought yes
8h ago16¢236bought yes
9h ago15¢918bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.