Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $86,500 or above

24h volume
5,116
7,882 lifetime
Open interest
5,451
+2,766 over 24h
Spread
4,882 × 4,624 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 10¢
34 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%+2

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
/ 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 92¢
24h low 24h high 10¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 20, 5:42 AMSep 21, 5:41 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,03658¢
  • ask1,34656¢
  • ask2,17155¢
  • ask4214¢
  • ask5,00013¢
  • ask3,20912¢
  • ask3,21211¢
  • ask4,62410¢
spreadmid
  • bid4,882
  • bid7,336
  • bid3,336
  • bid1
  • bid500
  • bid666
  • bid219
  • bid204
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 86499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
86499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T86499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 34 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago75bought yes
2h ago30bought yes
3h ago60bought yes
4h ago1bought no
4h ago1bought no
5h ago10¢10bought yes
5h ago10¢500bought yes
10h ago8bought yes
10h ago805bought yes
10h ago1,000bought yes
13h ago100bought yes
13h ago64bought yes
13h ago117bought yes
23h ago0.09bought yes
23h ago2,327bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.