Bitcoin price Above/below·closes in 5d

Bitcoin price on Sep 25, 2026?

YES means $87,500 or above

24h volume
539
10.0k lifetime
Open interest
7,494
+301 over 24h
Spread
5,000 × 4,400 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 6¢
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 4:02 AMSep 21, 3:58 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask90754¢
  • ask2,07953¢
  • ask1,44752¢
  • ask4510¢
  • ask5,000
  • ask2,656
  • ask2,484
  • ask4,400
spreadmid
  • bid5,000
  • bid8,126
  • bid3,751
  • bid1,201
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 87499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 25 · 9:05 PM UTC
floor
87499.99
ticker
KXBTCD-26SEP2517-T87499.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago70bought yes
11h ago15bought yes
12h ago15bought no
19h ago250bought yes
19h ago89bought yes
19h ago10bought no
21h ago90bought no
1d ago4bought no
1d ago1bought no
2d ago100bought yes
2d ago100bought yes
2d ago51bought yes
2d ago2,204bought yes
2d ago11bought no
2d ago85bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.