When will Bitcoin have its next halving?
YES means Before Mar 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 10.2k lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,900
- Spread
- 8¢
- 500 × 500 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 10 recent trades
A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2,00486¢
- ask37559¢
- ask77151¢
- ask3350¢
- ask130¢
- ask1.0112¢
- ask119¢
- ask5008¢
- bid5000¢
- bid14.6k0¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Bitcoin halves before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Mar 19, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Mar 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jun 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXBTCHALF-28MAR
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 10 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11d ago | 8¢ | 3.86 | bought yes |
| 15d ago | 7¢ | 51 | bought yes |
| 15d ago | 8¢ | 55 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 263 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 263 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 0¢ | 11 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 0¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 8¢ | 9.64 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 7¢ | 3.09 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 0¢ | 5 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.