When will Bitcoin have its next halving?
YES means Before May 2028
- 24h volume
- 2.49
- 6,013 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,431
- Spread
- 8¢
- 500 × 500 at the touch
- 24h range
- 79¢ – 79¢
A YES contract costs 79¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 29¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,000100¢
- ask23399¢
- ask11198¢
- ask1,43998¢
- ask4592¢
- ask3.7591¢
- ask1.3190¢
- ask50079¢
- bid50071¢
- bid3560¢
- bid6959¢
- bid10058¢
- bid2,00057¢
- bid3,33937¢
- bid733¢
- bid1,95525¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Bitcoin halves before May 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Mar 19, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- May 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jun 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXBTCHALF-28MAY
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.