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How high will Bitcoin get this year?·closes in 3mo

Will Bitcoin be above $139,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

YES means Above $139,999.99

24h volume
1.66
319.9k lifetime
Open interest
87.5k
+18.5k over 90d
Spread
1¢
2,873 × 1,075 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 4¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%+1

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
24h low 4¢24h high 4¢
Recent buying70% YES · 30% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volJun 23Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask95012¢
  • ask1,59511¢
  • ask3010¢
  • ask58¢
  • ask4,0007¢
  • ask8,1006¢
  • ask8,6055¢
  • ask1,0754¢
spread1¢mid 4¢
  • bid2,8733¢
  • bid24.4k2¢
  • bid53.2k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $139999.99 starting 01/01/2026 12:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 1 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
139999.99
ticker
KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31-139999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 70% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago4¢1.66bought yes
2d ago3¢32bought no
2d ago3¢1bought no
2d ago4¢100bought no
2d ago4¢200bought no
4d ago4¢126bought no
4d ago4¢200bought no
4d ago4¢999bought no
4d ago4¢163bought no
4d ago4¢100bought no
4d ago4¢284bought no
10d ago5¢100bought no
10d ago5¢3bought no
11d ago4¢55bought no
11d ago4¢7.66bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.