will Bitcoin hit price target by date·closes in 5mo

Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by Apr 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

YES means By Apr 15, 2027

24h volume: 279; 9,197 lifetime
Open interest: 7,021; +723 over 7d
Spread: 3¢; 132 × 3,050 at the touch
24h range: 11¢ – 13¢

Chance of YES

12%−1

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

88%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask

11¢ / 14¢

NO bid / ask

86¢ / 89¢

24h low 11¢24h high 13¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before Apr 15, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Settlement sources

CF Benchmarks

opened: Sep 22 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes: Apr 15, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jul 8, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor: 130000
ticker: KXBTCPRICE-130000-27APR15

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.