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CO2 level·closes in 40mo

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

YES means At least 445

24h volume
0
4,028 lifetime
Open interest
1,382
+0 over 24h
Spread
8¢
500 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%

A YES contract costs 30¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 30¢
NO bid / ask
70¢ / 78¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢volSep 20, 4:18 AMSep 20, 10:49 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,00399¢
  • ask1,00096¢
  • ask4995¢
  • ask2775¢
  • ask98174¢
  • ask5060¢
  • ask146¢
  • ask50030¢
spread8¢mid 26¢
  • bid50022¢
  • bid1.2715¢
  • bid7934¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the atmospheric concentration of CO2 is at least 445 before Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 2, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
445
ticker
KXCO2LEVEL-30-445
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago25¢3.17bought no
8d ago33¢29bought yes
10d ago30¢0.11bought yes
10d ago30¢0.11bought yes
14d ago22¢0.49bought no
19d ago29¢3.12bought yes
19d ago22¢2bought no
21d ago30¢1bought yes
26d ago30¢3.17bought yes
1mo ago30¢2.38bought yes
1mo ago30¢2.94bought yes
1mo ago22¢2.38bought no
1mo ago30¢2.94bought yes
1mo ago30¢6.41bought yes
1mo ago30¢0.2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.