Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 before Jan 1, 2027?
YES means Before Jan 1, 2027
- 24h volume
- 0
- 380 lifetime
- Open interest
- 322
- +0 over 30d
- Spread
- 8¢
- 200 × 6 at the touch
- 24h range
- 6¢ – 15¢
A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 94¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This includes increases by any mechanism, including new legislation, the existing automatic cost-of-living adjustment taking effect, or a final non-appealable court order. Back-pay awards, preliminary court rulings, and raises limited to leadership positions or specific offices do not qualify. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- opened
- May 28 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXCONGRESSPAYINCREASE-30-27JAN01
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.