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Copa America·closes in 23mo

Will Brazil win the 2028 Copa America?

YES means Brazil

24h volume
0
157 lifetime
Open interest
110
−2.28 over 7d
Spread
1¢
13 × 559 at the touch
24h range
–
22 recent trades
Chance of YES
33%

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
67%

costs 67¢

YES bid / ask
33¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 67¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢35¢40¢volSep 14Sep 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,15672¢
  • ask56.1k69¢
  • ask32.5k63¢
  • ask4,87561¢
  • ask5760¢
  • ask9049¢
  • ask35548¢
  • ask55934¢
spread1¢mid 34¢
  • bid1333¢
  • bid4017¢
  • bid1,00010¢
  • bid947¢
  • bid595¢
  • bid12.2k4¢
  • bid28.5k3¢
  • bid55.1k2¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Brazil is the 2028 Copa America champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 15, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC
ticker
KXCOPAAMERICA-28-BRA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 162¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 22 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago33¢2.28bought no
20d ago34¢8.43bought yes
25d ago31¢0.68bought no
25d ago31¢3bought no
28d ago31¢0.32bought no
28d ago31¢1bought no
1mo ago30¢3.89bought no
1mo ago30¢1.11bought no
1mo ago34¢5bought yes
1mo ago30¢2.34bought no
1mo ago30¢20bought no
1mo ago30¢0.28bought no
1mo ago34¢0.28bought yes
1mo ago34¢14bought yes
2mo ago42¢2.28bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.