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Copa America·closes in 23mo

Will Colombia win the 2028 Copa America?

YES means Colombia

24h volume
0
142 lifetime
Open interest
75
+75 over 90d
Spread
14¢
9,971 × 495 at the touch
24h range
–
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 19¢
NO bid / ask
81¢ / 95¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢volJul 21Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask49.2k57¢
  • ask2,11856¢
  • ask23.9k49¢
  • ask5,84545¢
  • ask4744¢
  • ask9034¢
  • ask20020¢
  • ask49519¢
spread14¢mid 12¢
  • bid9,9715¢
  • bid482¢
  • bid189.9k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Colombia is the 2028 Copa America champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 15, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC
ticker
KXCOPAAMERICA-28-COL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 162¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago5¢2.34bought no
14d ago19¢23bought yes
14d ago18¢2.13bought yes
22d ago17¢0.55bought yes
23d ago10¢0.36bought no
23d ago5¢26bought no
25d ago11¢0.68bought no
25d ago11¢3bought no
28d ago10¢0.32bought no
28d ago10¢1bought no
1mo ago10¢5.42bought no
1mo ago12¢2.34bought no
1mo ago13¢20bought no
2mo ago41¢2.34bought yes
2mo ago39¢22bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.