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Copa America·closes in 23mo

Will Ecuador win the 2028 Copa America?

YES means Ecuador

24h volume
0
61 lifetime
Open interest
37
+0 over 7d
Spread
15¢
0 × 645 at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 100¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask54.7k44¢
  • ask17.8k35¢
  • ask334¢
  • ask6,79130¢
  • ask31029¢
  • ask4328¢
  • ask1,00016¢
  • ask64515¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Ecuador is the 2028 Copa America champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 14 · 4:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Aug 15, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Aug 1, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXCOPAAMERICA-28-ECU
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 162¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 10 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    14d ago15¢6.29bought yes
    25d ago7¢0.68bought no
    25d ago7¢3bought no
    28d ago8¢0.32bought no
    28d ago8¢1bought no
    1mo ago8¢2.34bought no
    1mo ago8¢20bought no
    2mo ago29¢3.28bought yes
    2mo ago20¢9.46bought yes
    2mo ago20¢14bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.