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Copa America·closes in 23mo

Will Mexico win the 2028 Copa America?

YES means Mexico

24h volume
0
371 lifetime
Open interest
325
+202 over 30d
Spread
29¢
5.93 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
29 recent trades
Chance of YES
23%

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
77%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 92¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢volAug 22Sep 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9053¢
  • ask24.1k52¢
  • ask23.3k44¢
  • ask4843¢
  • ask5,51140¢
  • ask1,30039¢
  • ask52538¢
  • ask537¢
spread29¢mid 23¢
  • bid5.938¢
  • bid607¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mexico is the 2028 Copa America champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 15, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC
ticker
KXCOPAAMERICA-28-MEX
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 162¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 29 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20d ago23¢24bought yes
20d ago22¢5bought yes
25d ago9¢0.68bought no
25d ago9¢3bought no
28d ago11¢0.32bought no
28d ago12¢1bought no
29d ago23¢50bought yes
29d ago23¢0.88bought yes
29d ago36¢41bought yes
29d ago35¢15bought yes
29d ago21¢1bought yes
29d ago21¢68bought yes
29d ago21¢1bought yes
29d ago21¢5bought yes
29d ago8¢9.02bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.