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Copa America·closes in 23mo

Will USA win the 2028 Copa America?

YES means USA

24h volume
0
182 lifetime
Open interest
138
Spread
10¢
101 × 650 at the touch
24h range
–
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 94¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask21.9k46¢
  • ask26.5k44¢
  • ask16.1k35¢
  • ask2,10733¢
  • ask5032¢
  • ask9031¢
  • ask1,00017¢
  • ask65016¢
spread10¢mid 11¢
  • bid1016¢
  • bid10.0k5¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If USA is the 2028 Copa America champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 15, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:19 PM UTC
ticker
KXCOPAAMERICA-28-USA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 162¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22d ago6¢9.85bought no
25d ago7¢0.68bought no
25d ago7¢3bought no
28d ago6¢0.32bought no
28d ago6¢1bought no
1mo ago6¢2.34bought no
1mo ago6¢20bought no
2mo ago20¢2bought yes
2mo ago20¢118bought yes
2mo ago20¢14bought yes
2mo ago49¢9.85bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.