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CPI·closes in 2mo

Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in October 2026?

YES means Above 0.3%

24h volume
810
8,913 lifetime
Open interest
1,644
+1,202 over 7d
Spread
6¢
4 × 144 at the touch
24h range
53¢ – 56¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
53%−4

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
47%

costs 55¢

YES bid / ask
45¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 55¢
24h low 53¢24h high 56¢
Recent buying39% YES · 61% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10074¢
  • ask20467¢
  • ask5066¢
  • ask15059¢
  • ask10058¢
  • ask24154¢
  • ask3053¢
  • ask14450¢
spread5¢mid 48¢
  • bid445¢
  • bid644¢
  • bid2940¢
  • bid10039¢
  • bid19438¢
  • bid131¢
  • bid12824¢
  • bid5723¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.3% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 20 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 10 · 1:25 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 10 · 2:56 PM UTC
floor
0.3
ticker
KXCPI-26OCT-T0.3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 39% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago53¢8bought yes
4h ago55¢100bought no
4h ago54¢50bought no
4h ago54¢50bought no
4h ago55¢27bought no
4h ago55¢25bought no
4h ago55¢200bought no
4h ago55¢0.01bought no
4h ago56¢100bought no
4h ago55¢50bought no
4h ago55¢100bought no
11h ago56¢100bought no
1d ago54¢2bought yes
1d ago57¢4.9bought yes
1d ago56¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.