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CPI·closes in 2mo

Will CPI rise more than 1.0% in October 2026?

YES means Above 1.0%

24h volume
788
811 lifetime
Open interest
663
+663 over 7d
Spread
1¢
200 × 645 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 19¢
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%−8

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 93¢
24h low 7¢24h high 19¢
Recent buying5% YES · 95% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volSep 19, 6:00 PMSep 21, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,10099¢
  • ask20098¢
  • ask6092¢
  • ask3.2470¢
  • ask35020¢
  • ask7113¢
  • ask411¢
  • ask6458¢
spread1¢mid 7¢
  • bid2007¢
  • bid3006¢
  • bid2762¢
  • bid1,4301¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 1.0% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 10 · 1:25 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 10 · 2:56 PM UTC
floor
1
ticker
KXCPI-26OCT-T1.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 5% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago7¢100bought no
9h ago10¢4bought no
9h ago12¢178bought no
9h ago11¢22bought no
9h ago12¢200bought no
9h ago12¢200bought no
9h ago11¢50bought no
14h ago13¢17bought yes
14h ago13¢17bought yes
1d ago16¢11bought no
1d ago15¢2bought no
1d ago16¢2bought yes
2d ago19¢8bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.