Will CPI rise more than 1.0% in October 2026?
YES means Above 1.0%
- 24h volume
- 801
- 811 lifetime
- Open interest
- 663
- +10 over 90d
- Spread
- 1¢
- 200 × 645 at the touch
- 24h range
- 16¢ – 19¢
- 13 recent trades
A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 93¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 1.0% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- opened
- Sep 18 · 4:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 10 · 1:25 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 10 · 2:56 PM UTC
- floor
- 1
- ticker
- KXCPI-26OCT-T1.0
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 13 trades, 5% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 7¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 10¢ | 4 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 12¢ | 178 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 11¢ | 22 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 12¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 12¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 11¢ | 50 | bought no |
| 11h ago | 13¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 11h ago | 13¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 23h ago | 16¢ | 11 | bought no |
| 23h ago | 15¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 16¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 19¢ | 8 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.