Will the national debt hit $42.5 trillion during the Trump Administration?
YES means $42.5 trillion
- 24h volume
- 0
- 996 lifetime
- Open interest
- 919
- +786 over 30d
- Spread
- 5¢
- 200 × 780 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 14 recent trades
A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 7¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2599¢
- ask78098¢
- bid20093¢
- bid5091¢
- bid10088¢
- bid170¢
- bid10064¢
- bid160¢
- bid69744¢
- bid3131¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 42.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Jul 16 · 8:45 PM UTC
- closes
- Mar 31, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Mar 31, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 42.5
- ticker
- KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-42.5
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 14 trades, 8% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d ago | 98¢ | 5.09 | bought yes |
| 13d ago | 98¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 23d ago | 97¢ | 31 | bought no |
| 26d ago | 98¢ | 5.09 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 97¢ | 31 | bought no |
| 30d ago | 97¢ | 749 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 98¢ | 31 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 97¢ | 31 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 96¢ | 25 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 96¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 96¢ | 35 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 98¢ | 1.01 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 98¢ | 31 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 99¢ | 1 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.