Will the national debt hit $52.5 trillion during the Trump Administration?
YES means $52.5 trillion
- 24h volume
- 0
- 2,202 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,613
- +1,613 over 90d
- Spread
- 3¢
- 64 × 35 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 82¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask669¢
- ask1,22166¢
- ask0.3363¢
- ask5062¢
- ask1,00024¢
- ask20023¢
- ask2522¢
- ask3521¢
- bid6418¢
- bid2,00016¢
- bid17515¢
- bid20014¢
- bid447¢
- bid616¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 52.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Jul 16 · 8:45 PM UTC
- closes
- Mar 31, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Mar 31, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 52.5
- ticker
- KXDEBTGROWTH-28DEC31-52.5
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | 21¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 21¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 8d ago | 21¢ | 0.45 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 21¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 21¢ | 25 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 20¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 12d ago | 20¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 20d ago | 18¢ | 1.04 | bought no |
| 20d ago | 21¢ | 1.04 | bought yes |
| 22d ago | 20¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 23d ago | 20¢ | 16 | bought yes |
| 23d ago | 20¢ | 15 | bought yes |
| 23d ago | 20¢ | 4.7 | bought yes |
| 24d ago | 20¢ | 4.73 | bought yes |
| 27d ago | 19¢ | 117 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.