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Deel v Rippling·closes in 162mo

Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?

YES means Deel

24h volume
0
5,905 lifetime
Open interest
816
+0 over 7d
Spread
8¢
505 × 505 at the touch
24h range
–
22 recent trades
Chance of YES
67%

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
33%

costs 41¢

YES bid / ask
59¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 41¢
Recent buying15% YES · 85% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢80¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4,44499¢
  • ask1,11198¢
  • ask88894¢
  • ask81092¢
  • ask7.2975¢
  • ask50567¢
spread8¢mid 63¢
  • bid50559¢
  • bid156¢
  • bid1,62410¢
  • bid3,3333¢
  • bid1,9991¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Deel confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 6, 2025 · 9:10 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2040 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXDEELRIP-40-DEEL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 22 trades, 15% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago67¢7.29bought yes
15d ago67¢5bought yes
1mo ago63¢15bought yes
1mo ago59¢22bought no
1mo ago60¢9.73bought no
1mo ago60¢0.27bought no
1mo ago63¢10bought yes
1mo ago63¢2.94bought yes
1mo ago63¢1bought yes
1mo ago56¢1bought no
2mo ago57¢1bought yes
2mo ago59¢1bought yes
2mo ago56¢1bought no
2mo ago56¢1bought no
2mo ago56¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.