Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states before Apr 1, 2028?
YES means New Hampshire
- 24h volume
- 0
- 33.8k lifetime
- Open interest
- 14.0k
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 7¢
- 172 × 12 at the touch
- 24h range
- 90¢ – 94¢
A YES contract costs 88¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 19¢
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Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
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How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it. If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- opened
- Jul 27 · 5:07 PM UTC
- closes
- Apr 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Apr 8, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXDEMFIRSTCONTEST-28-NH
This event
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Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.