Will the US fall below 7.25 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028
YES means Below 7.25
- 24h volume
- 0
- 5,904 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,966
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 2¢
- 500 × 100 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 8 recent trades
A YES contract costs 43¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 59¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask52287¢
- ask36586¢
- ask7.6775¢
- ask28374¢
- ask3873¢
- ask8563¢
- ask50049¢
- ask10043¢
- bid50041¢
- bid113¢
- bid3936¢
- bid2,2836¢
- bid15¢
- bid6663¢
- bid9,8881¢
- bid250¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the United States falls below 7.25 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Nov 13, 2024 · 3:00 AM UTC
- closes
- May 17, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 26, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- cap
- 7.25
- ticker
- KXDEMOCRACYUS-28-7.25
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 8 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | 44¢ | 11 | bought yes |
| 20d ago | 42¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 20d ago | 41¢ | 141 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 43¢ | 4.54 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 44¢ | 4.54 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 43¢ | 4.1 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 43¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 43¢ | 0.96 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.