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Who will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?·closes in 23mo

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

YES means Denver

24h volume
0
4,630 lifetime
Open interest
3,541
+85 over 30d
Spread
6¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
41%

A YES contract costs 42¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
59%

costs 64¢

YES bid / ask
36¢ / 42¢
NO bid / ask
58¢ / 64¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask5099¢
  • ask2,85890¢
  • ask35789¢
  • ask1675¢
  • ask1,17450¢
  • ask20043¢
  • ask542¢
spread6¢mid 39¢
  • bid20036¢
  • bid3017¢
  • bid4307¢
  • bid511¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver hosts the 2028 Democratic national convention, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 5 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXDNC28HOST-28-DEN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 109¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago41¢23bought yes
7d ago36¢11bought no
9d ago43¢11bought yes
11d ago43¢11bought yes
18d ago42¢23bought yes
21d ago37¢20bought no
21d ago36¢20bought no
26d ago37¢65bought yes
27d ago36¢2.65bought yes
1mo ago39¢123bought yes
1mo ago39¢2bought yes
1mo ago38¢6.3bought yes
1mo ago37¢47bought yes
1mo ago34¢5bought yes
1mo ago37¢8.05bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.