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Who will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?·closes in 23mo

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

YES means Philadelphia

24h volume
0
3,239 lifetime
Open interest
2,989
+0 over 24h
Spread
5¢
4.68 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
48 recent trades
Chance of YES
41%

A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
59%

costs 70¢

YES bid / ask
30¢ / 35¢
NO bid / ask
65¢ / 70¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3.2889¢
  • ask5581¢
  • ask378¢
  • ask1875¢
  • ask30074¢
  • ask4873¢
  • ask20036¢
  • ask535¢
spread5¢mid 32¢
  • bid4.6830¢
  • bid20029¢
  • bid3446¢
  • bid4136¢
  • bid511¢
  • bid170¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Philadelphia hosts the 2028 Democratic national convention, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 5 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXDNC28HOST-28-PHL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 109¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 48 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago41¢4.68bought yes
4d ago39¢3bought yes
4d ago39¢191bought yes
8d ago38¢1.23bought yes
12d ago37¢65bought yes
14d ago30¢12bought no
14d ago31¢15bought no
18d ago36¢62bought yes
18d ago35¢5bought yes
23d ago35¢5bought yes
23d ago36¢48bought yes
23d ago36¢5.31bought yes
24d ago36¢22bought yes
24d ago35¢5bought yes
28d ago35¢55bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.