Democratic presidential primaries·closes in 26mo

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

YES means Jon Ossoff

24h volume
0
700 lifetime
Open interest
700
Spread
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
/ 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 94¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask19157¢
  • ask27256¢
  • ask4554¢
  • ask20015¢
  • ask514¢
spreadmid 10¢
  • bid200
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jon Ossoff wins the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

opened
Jul 24 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXDPRESPRIMARY-28SC-JOSS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 52¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago15¢200bought yes
2mo ago11¢500bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.