galdor.xyz
Admin
Ebay Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will eBay Inc. report Above $84 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?

YES means Above $84 billion

24h volume
0
3,210 lifetime
Open interest
1,674
+0 over 7d
Spread
8¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
93%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
7%

costs 9¢

YES bid / ask
91¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 9¢
Recent buying10% YES · 90% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
70¢80¢90¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
spread8¢mid 95¢
  • bid591¢
  • bid290¢
  • bid20089¢
  • bid1775¢
  • bid7068¢
  • bid5267¢
  • bid9165¢
  • bid5162¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If eBay Inc. reports Above 84000000000.0 gross merchandise volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
84000000000
ticker
KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-84000000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 10% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16d ago93¢76bought yes
16d ago92¢2bought yes
16d ago88¢78bought no
17d ago89¢200bought no
17d ago94¢200bought no
20d ago94¢200bought no
20d ago99¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.