galdor.xyz
Admin
Ebay Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will eBay Inc. report Above $88 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?

YES means Above $88 billion

24h volume
5
2,063 lifetime
Open interest
964
Spread
7¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
53¢ – 53¢
48 recent trades
Chance of YES
53%−2

A YES contract costs 52¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
47%

costs 55¢

YES bid / ask
45¢ / 52¢
NO bid / ask
48¢ / 55¢
24h low 53¢24h high 53¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If eBay Inc. reports Above 88000000000.0 gross merchandise volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
88000000000
ticker
KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-88000000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 48 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago53¢5bought yes
3d ago55¢8bought yes
3d ago56¢5bought yes
3d ago56¢1.73bought yes
5d ago55¢1.76bought yes
10d ago53¢5bought yes
10d ago52¢5bought yes
15d ago75¢11bought yes
15d ago44¢200bought yes
16d ago38¢5bought no
16d ago37¢2.17bought no
16d ago40¢5bought no
20d ago74¢2bought yes
24d ago43¢20bought yes
25d ago34¢57bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.