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Ebay Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will eBay Inc. report Above $92 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?

YES means Above $92 billion

24h volume
0
21.2k lifetime
Open interest
3,267
−500 over 30d
Spread
9¢
0 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 100¢
Recent buying70% YES · 30% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,33393¢
  • ask55961¢
  • ask7760¢
  • ask124¢
  • ask1618¢
  • ask10017¢
  • ask2009¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If eBay Inc. reports Above 92000000000.0 gross merchandise volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
    closes
    Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
    floor
    92000000000
    ticker
    KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-92000000000.0
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 15 trades, 70% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    16d ago9¢200bought yes
    17d ago14¢100bought yes
    17d ago7¢200bought yes
    20d ago12¢200bought yes
    20d ago10¢200bought yes
    20d ago9¢100bought yes
    20d ago8¢42bought yes
    21d ago6¢100bought yes
    25d ago7¢100bought yes
    27d ago6¢100bought yes
    2mo ago6¢16bought yes
    2mo ago2¢83bought no
    2mo ago9¢250bought no
    2mo ago13¢5bought no
    2mo ago11¢250bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.