Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2028?
YES means Before 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 277 lifetime
- Open interest
- 95
- +1 over 90d
- Spread
- 4¢
- 5 × 90 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 1 recent trades
A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 97¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask2,21891¢
- ask24790¢
- ask20010¢
- ask58¢
- ask907¢
- bid53¢
- bid4002¢
- bid1,0501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 2028, that state's electoral votes are not counted. Conditional adoptions (e.g., Nevada's requirement for voter approval) are not counted until all conditions are satisfied. Examples that WOULD resolve the market to Yes: 270 or more electoral votes worth of states have enacted NPVIC legislation before Jan 1, 2028 States totaling 269 electoral votes have joined, and one additional state with at least 1 electoral vote enacts NPVIC legislation before Jan 1, 2028 Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes: States totaling 269 electoral votes have enacted NPVIC legislation by Jan 1, 2028 States totaling 270 electoral votes have passed NPVIC legislation in both chambers but governors have not yet signed
- opened
- Apr 14 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXECCOMPACT-30-28
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19d ago | 7¢ | 2 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.