ETH Monthly One touch·closes in 10d

Will ETH trimmed mean be above $2750.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Above $2,750.00

24h volume
6,700
76.2k lifetime
Open interest
43.8k
+43.6k over 30d
Spread
40 × 46 at the touch
24h range
33¢ – 77¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
61%+23

A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
39%

costs 35¢

YES bid / ask
65¢ / 68¢
NO bid / ask
32¢ / 35¢
24h low 33¢24h high 77¢
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 1Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1684¢
  • ask581¢
  • ask579¢
  • ask13972¢
  • ask3,00071¢
  • ask35170¢
  • ask8069¢
  • ask4668¢
spreadmid 67¢
  • bid4065¢
  • bid3,00064¢
  • bid2621¢
  • bid51820¢
  • bid10015¢
  • bid95
  • bid90
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever above $ 2750.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
2750
ticker
KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26SEP30-275000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19m ago63¢1.73bought no
19m ago63¢9bought no
19m ago61¢49bought no
19m ago62¢64bought no
2h ago63¢149bought no
2h ago61¢92bought no
2h ago62¢1.22bought no
2h ago63¢9bought no
2h ago66¢23bought no
2h ago66¢5bought no
2h ago63¢127bought no
2h ago65¢98bought no
2h ago64¢3.25bought no
2h ago66¢1.73bought no
2h ago65¢5.62bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.