ETH Monthly One touch·closes in 10d

Will ETH trimmed mean be above $4250.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Above $4,250.00

24h volume
0
10.6k lifetime
Open interest
9,072
+8,072 over 90d
Spread
93 × 793 at the touch
24h range
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 2Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask190¢
  • ask167¢
  • ask9,577
  • ask3,113
  • ask793
spreadmid
  • bid93
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever above $ 4250.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
floor
4250
ticker
KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26SEP30-425000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago6.55bought no
3d ago6.55bought yes
11d ago500bought no
17d ago1,000bought yes
17d ago500bought yes
17d ago3,000bought yes
17d ago600bought yes
17d ago500bought yes
17d ago200bought yes
17d ago1,000bought yes
17d ago48bought yes
17d ago2,222bought yes
17d ago2bought no
17d ago2bought yes
19d ago875bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.