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ETH price EOY ·closes in 2mo

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 4,750 to 4,999.99

24h volume
6
59.5k lifetime
Open interest
29.8k
Spread
0¢
0 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,0551¢
  • ask1,2551¢
  • ask5551¢
  • ask2061¢
  • ask1580¢
  • ask660¢
  • ask1,0990¢
  • ask5000¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between 4750.00-4999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Feb 25 · 11:05 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
    floor
    4750
    cap
    4999.99
    ticker
    KXETHY-27JAN0100-B4875
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    13h ago0¢3bought yes
    13h ago0¢2.99bought yes
    13h ago0¢0.01bought yes
    2d ago0¢86bought yes
    2d ago0¢500bought yes
    2d ago0¢306bought yes
    2d ago0¢0.01bought yes
    4d ago0¢508bought yes
    4d ago0¢861bought no
    6d ago0¢2.99bought yes
    6d ago0¢0.01bought yes
    8d ago0¢18bought yes
    8d ago0¢0.01bought yes
    9d ago0¢22bought no
    9d ago0¢22bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.