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F1 Retire·closes in 43mo

Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 2029 F1 season?

YES means Before the 2029 season

24h volume
0
708 lifetime
Open interest
415
Spread
76¢
5 × 12 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
90%

A YES contract costs 88¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
10%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 88¢
NO bid / ask
12¢ / 88¢
Recent buying24% YES · 76% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2029 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 30 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 1, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Apr 1, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXF1RETIRE-30VERSTAPPEN-2029
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 24% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago64¢1bought yes
6d ago90¢49bought yes
8d ago11¢1.52bought no
19d ago46¢1.79bought no
25d ago55¢10bought yes
28d ago54¢41bought yes
28d ago47¢5bought yes
28d ago46¢5bought yes
28d ago45¢35bought no
1mo ago57¢5bought no
1mo ago56¢50bought no
1mo ago53¢51bought no
1mo ago53¢10bought no
1mo ago58¢200bought no
2mo ago65¢0.3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.