Intellia Therapeutics drug approval date·closes in 16mo

When will the FDA approve Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema?

YES means Before 2028

24h volume
0
611 lifetime
Open interest
143
+0 over 30d
Spread
24¢
5 × 0.11 at the touch
24h range
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
72%

A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
28%

costs 32¢

YES bid / ask
68¢ / 92¢
NO bid / ask
/ 32¢
Recent buying74% YES · 26% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

60¢70¢80¢90¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6499¢
  • ask7.0998¢
  • ask0.1393¢
  • ask0.1192¢
spread24¢mid 80¢
  • bid568¢
  • bid1.0167¢
  • bid5
  • bid75
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the FDA approves Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema for marketing before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Mar 24 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFDAAPPROVALDATENTLA-LONV-28JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 74% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
24d ago72¢5bought yes
2mo ago72¢1.36bought yes
2mo ago71¢5bought yes
2mo ago72¢63bought yes
2mo ago65¢40bought no
2mo ago68¢1.85bought yes
2mo ago72¢38bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.