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Opensea FDV ·closes in 2mo

Will Opensea FDV be above $1999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $2,000,000,000+

24h volume
778
126.6k lifetime
Open interest
19.6k
+737 over 7d
Spread
1¢
28 × 790 at the touch
24h range
15¢ – 23¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%+5

A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 23¢
NO bid / ask
77¢ / 78¢
24h low 15¢24h high 23¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢25¢30¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1153¢
  • ask3.9552¢
  • ask1451¢
  • ask7.9550¢
  • ask21649¢
  • ask87748¢
  • ask19046¢
  • ask79023¢
spread1¢mid 22¢
  • bid2822¢
  • bid4021¢
  • bid3820¢
  • bid13319¢
  • bid4118¢
  • bid32917¢
  • bid52016¢
  • bid1,01713¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Opensea's fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 1999999999.99 at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes.

The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other metrics. If no data is available at the specified time, the last FDV value shown before that time on the date will be used. If the coin is delisted from CoinGecko before the measurement date, the last recorded FDV will be used and the market will resolve immediately. Token migrations to new smart contract addresses are tracked continuously. If CoinGecko changes its FDV calculation methodology, the value displayed at the measurement time under the FDV label will be used regardless. Post-redenomination FDV values (after splits/reverse splits) will be used. All values are in USD as shown on CoinGecko. Values can be expressed in millions (M), billions (B), or trillions (T) format.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 18, 2025 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
1999999999.99
ticker
KXFDVOPENSEA-27JAN01-1999999999
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
43m ago22¢18bought no
43m ago22¢6.69bought no
2h ago23¢1bought yes
2h ago22¢0.74bought no
3h ago23¢21bought yes
3h ago22¢8.25bought no
4h ago21¢13bought no
4h ago22¢27bought no
4h ago23¢8.25bought yes
4h ago22¢8.66bought yes
4h ago23¢33bought yes
5h ago20¢8.66bought no
5h ago21¢15bought no
6h ago22¢6.22bought yes
6h ago23¢2.26bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.