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Opensea FDV ·closes in 3mo

Will Opensea FDV be above $7999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $8,000,000,000+

24h volume
41
6,885 lifetime
Open interest
2,696
+257 over 7d
Spread
8¢
538 × 502 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 11¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%−4

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 97¢
24h low 2¢24h high 11¢
Recent buying75% YES · 25% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,03849¢
  • ask10648¢
  • ask4347¢
  • ask1.5143¢
  • ask2425¢
  • ask1224¢
  • ask19923¢
  • ask50211¢
spread8¢mid 7¢
  • bid5383¢
  • bid2001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Opensea's fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 7999999999.99 at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes.

The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other metrics. If no data is available at the specified time, the last FDV value shown before that time on the date will be used. If the coin is delisted from CoinGecko before the measurement date, the last recorded FDV will be used and the market will resolve immediately. Token migrations to new smart contract addresses are tracked continuously. If CoinGecko changes its FDV calculation methodology, the value displayed at the measurement time under the FDV label will be used regardless. Post-redenomination FDV values (after splits/reverse splits) will be used. All values are in USD as shown on CoinGecko. Values can be expressed in millions (M), billions (B), or trillions (T) format.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 18, 2025 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
7999999999.99
ticker
KXFDVOPENSEA-27JAN01-7999999999
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 75% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
37m ago4¢0.68bought no
38m ago11¢38bought yes
6h ago10¢1bought yes
8h ago2¢1bought no
2d ago8¢117bought yes
2d ago23¢4.12bought yes
3d ago22¢18bought yes
3d ago23¢86bought yes
4d ago23¢0.04bought yes
4d ago22¢21bought yes
4d ago22¢0.38bought yes
4d ago5¢85bought no
5d ago3¢3bought no
5d ago8¢1.22bought yes
5d ago9¢2.08bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.