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Opensea FDV ·closes in 3mo

Will Opensea FDV be above $4999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $5,000,000,000+

24h volume
920
38.3k lifetime
Open interest
7,455
+686 over 7d
Spread
2¢
5 × 29 at the touch
24h range
5¢ – 27¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%+11

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 82¢
24h low 5¢24h high 27¢
Recent buying43% YES · 57% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5157¢
  • ask4445¢
  • ask1539¢
  • ask41327¢
  • ask50023¢
  • ask8622¢
  • ask2221¢
  • ask2920¢
spread2¢mid 19¢
  • bid518¢
  • bid2217¢
  • bid10216¢
  • bid50015¢
  • bid666¢
  • bid5065¢
  • bid1,3194¢
  • bid3333¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Opensea's fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 4999999999.99 at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes.

The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other metrics. If no data is available at the specified time, the last FDV value shown before that time on the date will be used. If the coin is delisted from CoinGecko before the measurement date, the last recorded FDV will be used and the market will resolve immediately. Token migrations to new smart contract addresses are tracked continuously. If CoinGecko changes its FDV calculation methodology, the value displayed at the measurement time under the FDV label will be used regardless. Post-redenomination FDV values (after splits/reverse splits) will be used. All values are in USD as shown on CoinGecko. Values can be expressed in millions (M), billions (B), or trillions (T) format.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 18, 2025 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
4999999999.99
ticker
KXFDVOPENSEA-27JAN01-4999999999
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 43% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5m ago18¢262bought no
5m ago19¢22bought no
9m ago23¢206bought yes
16m ago22¢8.37bought yes
16m ago23¢13bought yes
38m ago23¢20bought yes
39m ago22¢17bought yes
39m ago23¢7.46bought yes
2h ago21¢0.04bought yes
2h ago18¢20bought yes
2h ago19¢219bought yes
6h ago20¢0.9bought yes
8h ago13¢0.9bought no
15h ago27¢6.97bought yes
15h ago23¢3.04bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.