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Opensea FDV ·closes in 2mo

Will Opensea FDV be above $4999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $5,000,000,000+

24h volume
78
59.4k lifetime
Open interest
9,348
−224 over 7d
Spread
5¢
56 × 248 at the touch
24h range
10¢ – 13¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%−2

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 90¢
24h low 10¢24h high 13¢
Recent buying29% YES · 71% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5.2252¢
  • ask4445¢
  • ask6942¢
  • ask18236¢
  • ask1,02535¢
  • ask50017¢
  • ask1,15716¢
  • ask24815¢
spread5¢mid 13¢
  • bid5610¢
  • bid5009¢
  • bid2487¢
  • bid4526¢
  • bid7415¢
  • bid2,3164¢
  • bid1663¢
  • bid2552¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Opensea's fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 4999999999.99 at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes.

The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other metrics. If no data is available at the specified time, the last FDV value shown before that time on the date will be used. If the coin is delisted from CoinGecko before the measurement date, the last recorded FDV will be used and the market will resolve immediately. Token migrations to new smart contract addresses are tracked continuously. If CoinGecko changes its FDV calculation methodology, the value displayed at the measurement time under the FDV label will be used regardless. Post-redenomination FDV values (after splits/reverse splits) will be used. All values are in USD as shown on CoinGecko. Values can be expressed in millions (M), billions (B), or trillions (T) format.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 18, 2025 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
4999999999.99
ticker
KXFDVOPENSEA-27JAN01-4999999999
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 29% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago10¢0.55bought no
4h ago11¢5.89bought yes
4h ago12¢5.72bought yes
4h ago12¢9.07bought yes
4h ago12¢3.34bought yes
9h ago10¢5.9bought no
9h ago10¢14bought no
17h ago10¢6.75bought no
17h ago10¢0.5bought no
19h ago10¢5.19bought no
19h ago11¢5.35bought no
19h ago11¢0.54bought no
23h ago13¢15bought yes
1d ago12¢7.84bought yes
1d ago10¢46bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.