Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting?
YES means Hike 25bps
- 24h volume
- 5.55
- 3,275 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,313
- +5.55 over 24h
- Spread
- 9¢
- 29 × 100 at the touch
- 24h range
- 17¢ – 17¢
A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 94¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- opened
- Oct 6, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jul 28, 2027 · 5:59 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jul 28, 2027 · 6:05 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-H25
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 108¢).
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.