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Fed governor nominee·closes in 3mo

Will Trump next nominate Christopher Waller as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?

YES means Christopher Waller

24h volume
0
45.0k lifetime
Open interest
11.0k
Spread
3¢
8,851 × 93 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 99¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,09139¢
  • ask2037¢
  • ask3034¢
  • ask10.0k20¢
  • ask31019¢
  • ask5007¢
  • ask164¢
  • ask934¢
spread3¢mid 3¢
  • bid8,8511¢
  • bid1,6071¢
  • bid5500¢
  • bid2,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Christopher Waller is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.

The nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 5 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFEDGOVNOM-27-CWAL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
24d ago1¢148bought no
1mo ago1¢1bought no
1mo ago3¢54bought yes
1mo ago3¢105bought yes
1mo ago1¢67bought no
2mo ago1¢64bought no
2mo ago1¢1.4bought no
2mo ago3¢32bought yes
2mo ago3¢64bought yes
2mo ago3¢1.4bought yes
2mo ago3¢20bought yes
2mo ago3¢13bought yes
2mo ago3¢17bought yes
2mo ago3¢28bought yes
2mo ago3¢15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.