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Fed governor nominee·closes in 3mo

Will Trump next nominate Judy Shelton as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?

YES means Judy Shelton

24h volume
0
62.0k lifetime
Open interest
37.0k
+0 over 7d
Spread
5¢
32 × 1,154 at the touch
24h range
–
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 97¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 16Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5653¢
  • ask1,74947¢
  • ask1,96146¢
  • ask1,50921¢
  • ask1,28411¢
  • ask6129¢
  • ask2009¢
  • ask1,1548¢
spread5¢mid 6¢
  • bid323¢
  • bid973¢
  • bid1,4053¢
  • bid1001¢
  • bid580¢
  • bid5990¢
  • bid2,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Judy Shelton is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.

The nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 5 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFEDGOVNOM-27-JSHE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago3¢9bought no
12d ago3¢146bought no
12d ago3¢111bought no
12d ago3¢333bought no
24d ago9¢1.09bought yes
1mo ago9¢990bought yes
1mo ago9¢32bought yes
1mo ago9¢10bought yes
1mo ago4¢3.94bought no
1mo ago4¢2.06bought no
2mo ago9¢10bought yes
2mo ago9¢52bought yes
2mo ago5¢104bought no
2mo ago5¢148bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.