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Fed governor nominee·closes in 3mo

Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?

YES means Kevin Hassett

24h volume
0
21.7k lifetime
Open interest
6,575
+0 over 7d
Spread
5¢
883 × 6 at the touch
24h range
–
31 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 96¢
Recent buying91% YES · 9% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 17Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,05747¢
  • ask5339¢
  • ask7,50011¢
  • ask1,1509¢
  • ask3339¢
  • ask409¢
  • ask189¢
  • ask69¢
spread5¢mid 7¢
  • bid8834¢
  • bid461¢
  • bid5541¢
  • bid1001¢
  • bid470¢
  • bid5500¢
  • bid2,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kevin Hassett is nominated as a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes.

The nomination must be sent by the President and received by the United States Senate.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 5 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFEDGOVNOM-27-KHAS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 31 trades, 91% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10d ago11¢17bought yes
15d ago11¢17bought yes
15d ago6¢1bought yes
18d ago8¢896bought yes
18d ago7¢21bought yes
18d ago7¢1,000bought yes
30d ago7¢1.28bought yes
1mo ago7¢0.25bought yes
1mo ago4¢1bought no
1mo ago4¢20bought no
2mo ago6¢1bought no
2mo ago9¢10bought yes
2mo ago9¢21bought yes
2mo ago9¢5.22bought yes
2mo ago4¢21bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.