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Fed governor nominee·closes in 10d

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2026?

YES means Before Oct 1, 2026

24h volume
0
1,312 lifetime
Open interest
489
Spread
1¢
23 × 10 at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying1% YES · 99% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask25582¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask129¢
  • ask128¢
  • ask1324¢
  • ask20010¢
  • ask123¢
  • ask102¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid231¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026. then the market resolves to Yes.

Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 8 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFEDGOVNOM-29-26OCT01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago1¢1bought no
2d ago2¢1bought yes
2d ago2¢1bought yes
2d ago1¢1bought no
20d ago1¢25bought no
20d ago3¢200bought no
1mo ago3¢200bought no
1mo ago3¢3bought no
1mo ago4¢0.67bought yes
2mo ago10¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.