Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2026?
YES means Before Oct 1, 2026
- 24h volume
- 0
- 1,312 lifetime
- Open interest
- 489
- +2 over 7d
- Spread
- 1¢
- 23 × 10 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 10 recent trades
A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask24380¢
- ask130¢
- ask129¢
- ask128¢
- ask1324¢
- ask20010¢
- ask123¢
- ask102¢
- bid231¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026. then the market resolves to Yes.
Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate.
- opened
- Jul 8 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Oct 1 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXFEDGOVNOM-29-26OCT01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 10 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 1¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 2¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 2¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 1¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 20d ago | 1¢ | 25 | bought no |
| 20d ago | 3¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 3 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 0.67 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.