Next Fed rate hike·closes in 28mo

Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2028?

YES means Before 2029

24h volume: 0; 0.01 lifetime
Open interest: 0.01; +0.01 over 7d
Spread: 1¢; 197 × 0.01 at the touch
24h range: –; 1 recent trades

Chance of YES

93%

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

costs 5¢

YES bid / ask

95¢ / 96¢

NO bid / ask

4¢ / 5¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask10099¢
ask50098¢
ask20097¢
ask0.0196¢

spread1¢mid 96¢

bid19795¢
bid2,50094¢
bid1,00090¢
bid50089¢
bid3,02563¢
bid55647¢
bid20016¢
bid8,4803¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

Federal Reserve

opened: Sep 16 · 8:30 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXFEDHIKE-2-28DEC31

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
3d ago	93¢	0.01	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.