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Nuclear fusion·closes in 101mo

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

YES means Before 2035

24h volume
0
6,994 lifetime
Open interest
3,301
Spread
6¢
5 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
30 recent trades
Chance of YES
51%

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
49%

costs 55¢

YES bid / ask
45¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 55¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00084¢
  • ask1,30983¢
  • ask1,43383¢
  • ask57980¢
  • ask43380¢
  • ask2078¢
  • ask3.7975¢
  • ask50051¢
spread6¢mid 48¢
  • bid545¢
  • bid1445¢
  • bid52844¢
  • bid5143¢
  • bid76743¢
  • bid41342¢
  • bid20041¢
  • bid40040¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 4, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2035 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFUSION-35-JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 30 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago51¢3.79bought yes
3d ago53¢200bought yes
3d ago51¢100bought yes
3d ago51¢10bought yes
3d ago51¢12bought yes
11d ago44¢15bought no
11d ago44¢5bought no
11d ago51¢0.97bought yes
17d ago44¢13bought no
17d ago44¢5bought no
20d ago44¢0.07bought no
23d ago51¢22bought yes
1mo ago49¢20bought yes
1mo ago48¢1.23bought yes
1mo ago49¢2.71bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.