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Nuclear fusion·closes in 99mo

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

YES means Before 2035

24h volume
0
7,051 lifetime
Open interest
3,330
+1.89 over 7d
Spread
5¢
10 × 717 at the touch
24h range
51¢ – 51¢
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
51%

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
49%

costs 56¢

YES bid / ask
44¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 56¢
24h low 51¢24h high 51¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢45¢50¢55¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask40480¢
  • ask4680¢
  • ask53479¢
  • ask5.6875¢
  • ask1475¢
  • ask12275¢
  • ask50050¢
  • ask71749¢
spread5¢mid 47¢
  • bid1044¢
  • bid1,03944¢
  • bid3.7944¢
  • bid1343¢
  • bid26743¢
  • bid1642¢
  • bid41342¢
  • bid1941¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 4, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2035 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXFUSION-35-JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago51¢0.68bought yes
4d ago51¢1.21bought yes
5d ago51¢1.23bought yes
5d ago51¢6.77bought yes
22d ago51¢1.21bought yes
22d ago51¢3.05bought yes
22d ago51¢15bought yes
1mo ago51¢3.79bought yes
1mo ago44¢5bought no
1mo ago51¢19bought yes
2mo ago51¢3.79bought yes
2mo ago53¢200bought yes
2mo ago51¢100bought yes
2mo ago51¢10bought yes
2mo ago51¢12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.