When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
YES means Before 2040
- 24h volume
- 232
- 12.0k lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,533
- Spread
- 2¢
- 500 × 68 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 53¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 50¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Jun 4, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2040 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXFUSION-40-JAN01
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23h ago | 53¢ | 75 | bought yes |
| 23h ago | 53¢ | 157 | bought yes |
| 6d ago | 51¢ | 8 | bought no |
| 10d ago | 51¢ | 11 | bought no |
| 10d ago | 52¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 10d ago | 51¢ | 4 | bought no |
| 10d ago | 52¢ | 15 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 52¢ | 0.71 | bought yes |
| 20d ago | 52¢ | 4.29 | bought yes |
| 20d ago | 52¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 27d ago | 47¢ | 0.27 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 48¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 48¢ | 0.22 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 48¢ | 15 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 48¢ | 69 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.